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It is 178 days until the presidential election. Every day presents an opportunity for the candidates. It will either be an up day, or a down day. At the end of this tight race, the person with the best run of good days will be the winner.
A month ago, the prevailing media narrative was that presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney was in trouble, bloodied by a tough primary season which he took too long to close. Not so fast. Four years ago, Barack Obama lost three of five of the May Democratic primaries to challenger Hillary Rodham Clinton, while Republican John McCain wrapped up his nomination by the end of February. We know how that race turned out.